> At a Glance
> – President Trump told House Republicans Tuesday that Democrats will impeach him again if the GOP loses the midterms
> – Recent polls show voters favor Democratic control of Congress by 8 points, 50%-42%
> – Midterms will decide who controls the final two years of Trump’s second term
> – Why it matters: The impeachment threat is being used as a Republican turnout strategy with all 435 House seats on the ballot.
President Trump used a policy retreat with House Republicans to frame the 2026 midterms as a referendum on another impeachment, warning that a Democratic majority would “find a reason” to remove him.
The Warning
Speaking at the newly renamed Trump-Kennedy Center on the fifth anniversary of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack, Trump said:
> “You got to win the midterms, because if we don’t win the midterms, it’s just going to be – I mean, they’ll find a reason to impeach me. I’ll get impeached.”
The president remains the only U.S. president impeached twice by the House, though the Senate failed both times to reach the two-thirds vote needed for conviction.
Political Landscape
Current polling shows headwinds for Republicans:
- 50% of registered voters prefer Democratic control of Congress
- 42% want Republican control
- Margin exceeds the poll’s 3.1-point error range
Historical precedent also favors Democrats. In 2018, the party out of power flipped 41 House seats to win the majority, setting up both of Trump’s impeachments.
Past Impeachments
2019: First impeachment centered on charges Trump pressured Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden by withholding military aid.
2021: Second impeachment followed the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, accusing Trump of inciting insurrection while trying to overturn his election loss.
The president has consistently denied wrongdoing and calls both efforts politically motivated.
Republican Strategy
NBC News reported in July that GOP operatives plan to weaponize impeachment fears to boost midterm turnout, even though Trump’s name won’t appear on any ballot.
All 435 House seats and 34 Senate seats will be contested in November.
Key Takeaways
- Trump is explicitly tying GOP midterm losses to a third impeachment
- Democrats currently lead the generic ballot by 8 points
- Midterms historically punish the president’s party
- Jan. 6 pardons and impeachment history remain central campaign issues
The speech underscores how impeachment-past and potential-continues to shape the political battle for Congress.
